AFL Teams to Watch in 2025: Predictions from the Pythagorean Wins Method

As the excitement builds for the upcoming 2025 AFL season, sports analysts are making predictions about which teams will rise to the top and which might struggle. Using a fascinating method called Pythagorean wins, our favorite footy commentators at Fox Footy have offered insights that could change the way we watch the games this year. With this unique approach, we get to see not just which teams won in the past, but if they should have won, based on their scoring data!

What Are Pythagorean Wins and How Do They Work?

So, what exactly are Pythagorean wins? This method uses a mathematical formula to analyze scoring data to help predict a team’s performance. Think of it like a super-smart way of checking if a team really played better than their win-loss record shows. If a team scores lots of points but loses games, the Pythagorean wins calculation helps us see how they really performed, suggesting that they could do much better in the future.

How Did Pythagoras’ Predictions Go Last Year?

In 2024, the Pythagorean prediction model made some pretty solid guesses about the teams. For example, it hinted that Port Adelaide might decline, while Geelong and Adelaide were expected to improve. As the season unfolded, two out of these three predictions turned out to be spot-on, except that Adelaide’s performance didn’t quite match the expectation. Can you believe how accurate this math can be when predicting the unpredictable world of footy?

What Pythagorean Wins Predicts for the 2025 Season

Looking ahead to 2025, the predictions continue to impress. According to Fox Footy, Adelaide is likely to make a strong comeback this season, projected to gain around 2.8 additional wins! Additionally, the Western Bulldogs are also expected to shine brighter, with a forecast of improving by about 2.2 wins. On the flip side, the GWS Giants and Port Adelaide might have a tough time, as they’re being softly predicted to decline, showing less than a 2-win gap from their current performances.

The 2024 Pythagorean Wins Ladder

Team Predicted Outcome Wins Change
Adelaide Improving +2.8
Western Bulldogs Improving +2.2
GWS Giants Declining
Port Adelaide Declining

This table gives you a quick snapshot of what to expect from some of the key teams in 2025 based on Pythagorean wins.

So, as the whistle blows to start the AFL season, remember that behind each game, there’s lots of data and predictions at work. Keeping an eye on teams like Adelaide and the Western Bulldogs might just make this a thrilling season to watch!

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